Entry Name:  "MIDD-Andrews-MC1"

VAST Challenge 2015
Mini-Challenge 1

 

 

Team Members:

Christopher Andrews, Middlebury College, candrews@middlebury.edu PRIMARY

Julian Billings, Middlebury College, jabillings@middlebury.edu

 

Student Team:  HALF

 

Did you use data from both mini-challenges? NO

 

Analytic Tools Used:

Middguard, a framework developed by Professor Andrews and his students, as well as D3.js, Postgresql

 

Approximately how many hours were spent working on this submission in total?

350

 

May we post your submission in the Visual Analytics Benchmark Repository after VAST Challenge 2015 is complete? YES

 

 

Video:

Midd-Andrews-MC1.m4v

 

 

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Questions

MC1.1Characterize the attendance at DinoFun World on this weekend. Describe up to twelve different types of groups at the park on this weekend. 

a.      How big is this type of group?

b.     Where does this type of group like to go in the park?

c.      How common is this type of group?

d.     What are your other observations about this type of group?

e.      What can you infer about this type of group?

f.       If you were to make one improvement to the park to better meet this group’s needs, what would it be?

Limit your response to no more than 12 images and 1000 words.

 

Category 1: Creepy People

 

a. This type of group contains one person

b. He/she tends to hang out around rides that children might go on and at shows/entertainment venues

c. We’ve identified 31 such groups

d. At the very least we can infer that this group is not interested in rides, and their behavior suggest that they may be criminals

e. This group seems very suspicious, and we suggest that the park take more measures to ensure security

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:CreepyPic.png

 

 

 

 

Category 2: Nappers

 

a. Around 2-8 people

b. These groups have mixed behavior, but many of them seem to spend a significant amount of time on rides. The common behavior is a break of about 1.5-2 hours starting between 2pm and 3pm. Most of the groups (42/46) are staying in one of the two lodgings.

c. 46 identified

d. We can guess that these groups tend to be families, as their focus on rides implies they may have children, and the breaks seem likely to be nap times.

e. The introduction of a quiet area might benefit these families, especially those who are not staying on site.

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:Nappers.png

 

 

 

 

Category 3: Return Alones

 

a. 1 person

b. This group has no consistent pattern of park travel that we know of

c. 595 identified

d. We can infer that these people decided to come back to the park alone after coming with friends/family before, perhaps because their tickets are still valid for the weekend. We can also see that none of these people initially came with any of the large ‘tour groups’

e. To improve their experience, we might ensure that there are ‘singles lanes’ in the lines for rides.

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:ReturnAlonePic.png

 

 

 

 

Category 4: Grinosaurus Stage Participants

 

a. 8 people

b. This group goes to Grinosaurus stage and nowhere else, and they only go for the showtimes

c. 1 identified

d. We can infer that this group consists of people who are participants in whatever event/show occurs at Grinosaurus stage

e. To improve their experience, we could offer more complimentary perks to them

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:StageEntouragePic.png

 

 

 

 

Category 5: Teen School Group

 

a. 30 people

b. This group goes mostly to rides (excluding Kiddie Rides), but doesn’t spend too much time in any one place. They walk a fair amount and do NOT go to any of the beer gardens, and they go home early

c. 1 identified

d. We can infer that this is some sort of teen/preteen school/camp group based on the rides they take and their schedule

e. We suggest the park encourages large groups to split up to reduce waiting times for groups like this. The group seemed to cross the park walking to each activity/event and we might help them save walking time by providing suggested itineraries.

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:LargeGroupSchool.png

 

 

 

 

Category 6: Families leaving the park for meals

 

a. 2-6 members

b. The group leaves the park twice a day at noon and then at 6pm, and does not frequent restaurants on site. Nearly all of them are staying in the lodge or camp ground.

c. 14 identified

d. The timing and duration of their exits coupled with the lack of restaurants stops make it likely that they are eating meals outside of the park.

e. A picnic area might encourage these visitors to stay in the park.

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:MealsOut.png

 

 

 

 

Category 7: Eastern European Families

 

a. 3-6 people

b. This group leaves the park for 3 periods (11ish, 2ish, 7ish) during the day, and tends to spend little if any time at restaurants

c. 6 identified

d. We can infer that these are Eastern European families based on their presumed dining schedule, which we can glean from the times of their exits and their sparse restaurant attendance

e. Adding a picnic area would make it more convenient for these groups to remain in the park as well.

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:EasternEuro.png

 

 

 

 

 

 

Category 8: Large, Young Tour Groups

 

a. 30-44 members

b. These groups tend to go to the Beer Gardens several times per day, and several of them are ride focused. All of these groups only come for a single day, and all who can attend go to the afternoon Grinosaurus Stage show

c. 30 identified

d. Based on their beer consumption and preference for rides, we infer that these groups are mostly full of younger adults (20s/30s)

e.  We suggest organizing more events for these groups

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:LargeGroupBeer.png

 

 

 

 

Category 9: Night Owls

a. 2-5 members

b. These groups come from around 6PM to closing time, and they always come for exactly one night. About a third of them make a stop at the arcade and only three stop at a Beer Garden

c. 28 identified

d. We can infer that these are older teenagers based on the time they arrive and their choice of activities

e. We suggest offering discounted admission to teens/students and/or the after-6PM crowd

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:NightOwls.png

 

 

 

 

 

 

Category 10: Binge Eaters/Drinkers

 

a. 2-11 members

b. These groups have at least 1 day where they ‘binge’ out by eating and drinking for roughly 3 hrs. straight among 3+ establishments. This binge is almost always in the afternoon

c. 255 identified

d. We can infer that they like to eat and drink

e. We suggest that the park adds more sedentary events so these people have somewhere to go after bingeing

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:FoodBinge.png

 

 

 

 

 

 

Category 11: Call it a Day Early

 

a. 2-7 members

b. Many of this group on come one day, most of them come on Saturday and Sunday. These groups all leave at 1:30PM. They tend to do 1 or 2 things for a long time, or several things for short periods of time

c. 38 identified

d. Given the typical group size and the choice of activities, we can infer that these are families with preteens: old enough for the big rides, young enough to not spend the whole day

e. We suggest offering half-day prices for this group of people, and reworking the ride check-ins to ensure less waiting

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:CallItEarly.png

 

 

 

 

 

MC1.2 – Are there notable differences in the patterns of activity on in the park across the three days?  Please describe the notable difference you see.

 

Limit your response to no more than 3 images and 300 words.

 

1. The attendance seems to increase as the weekend goes on. The number of groups at the park grows with each passing day.

 

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:Attendance.png

 

 

2.  Nearly every “individual” group (i.e. someone who goes to the park alone on some day(s)) is active on Sunday (so they may have also gone to the park with or without others on Friday or Saturday), whereas on Friday and Saturday a significantly smaller percentage of the “individual” groups are active.

 

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:ActiveSunday.png

 

 

 

 

 

 

MC1.3What anomalies or unusual patterns do you see? Describe no more than 10 anomalies, and prioritize those unusual patterns that you think are most likely to be relevant to the crime.

 

Limit your response to no more than 10 images and 500 words.

 

1. On both Friday and Saturday the Creighton Pavilion seems to be nearly empty between 10AM and 11:30AM.  On Sunday there are few people there in that time period as well, but unlike Friday and Saturday where the Pavilion holds a significant number of people between 11:30AM and about 2:30PM, at 12PM on Sunday everyone leaves the pavilion for some reason. Based on the former pattern and the latter anomaly, we have inferred that the crime at the Pavilion occurred in the 10-11:30AM time period and that at around 12PM everyone was forced to leave the Pavilion because the crime had been noticed. The anomalous fact that the Sunday afternoon show at Grinosaurus stage was cancelled further supports the idea that the crime occurred earlier that day, but not early enough to cancel the earlier show.

 

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:CrimeTime.png

 

 

 

 

2. There are 3 people who fall into the “Creepy People” category mentioned above who all enter and leave the Creighton Pavilion, where the crime occurred, between the hours of 10:00 AM and 11:30 AM, the time in which the crime occurred. There is no show going on at that time so it is a little odd for them to go into the building and stay there for more than a minute or two during this period.

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:MorningCreep.png

 

 

 

 

 

 

3. The person with ID 898576 has some anomalous behavior, as he/she never moves after 10:19AM according to the data. This seems unlikely, and the fact that his position is lost right before the period in which the crime occurs is suspicious. (Did he/she intentionally ‘lose’ his cellphone to cover his/her tracks, perhaps?) This person is extra suspicious because the Creighton Pavilion is the last place at the park he/she visits the day before; perhaps the visit served to motivate the crime.

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:PrimeSuspect.png

 

 

 

 

4. Person 657863 spends the night at the park according to the data, which is obviously an anomaly, but a likely explanation is that he/she dropped his/her cell phone and retrieved it the next morning.

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:Sleepyhead.png

 

 

 

 

5. One group of 7 people spends about 6 hours in the bathroom.

Description: Macintosh HD:Users:jabillings:Desktop:VAST2015:BathroomBreakers.png